BlackBerry's board, as you probably know, has agreed to sell the company to its biggest stockholder.
While Fairfax Financial agreed to pay $4.7 billion or $9 a share for the troubled smartphone manufacturer,
under the terms of the deal Fairfax was supposed to deliver a merger
agreement to BlackBerry by Friday. Failure to do so would reduce the
time that Fairfax would be allowed to conduct its due-diligence which
originally was supposed to end on November 4th. At this point, we are
not sure if this condition was met by the bidder.
We've
already heard that another financial firm, Cerberus Capital Management was interested in the company. But a Wall Street analyst, Pierre Ferragu at Bernstein Research, predicts that
BlackBerry will burn through most of its cash by February 2015,
making an acquisition by a financial firm more difficult. The deal with
Fairfax has generated plenty of skepticism because of a lack of
financing. If BlackBerry pulls out, it will owe Fairfax a $150 million
break-up fee.
On Saturday morning, a new group of potential
bidders was mentioned in a published report. All of the names are
non-financial tech companies which means that they are less interested
in cash in the bank and more interested in patents, the companies
enterprise business including BES, and to a lesser degree, the current
BlackBerry 10 lineup. With nearly $1 billion of
BlackBerry Z10
units written off by the Canadian based manufacturer, there could be
some other assets with a declining value. The value of BlackBerry's
patent portfolio and licenses will probably be cut in half over the next
18 months, BlackBerry itself says in an official filing.
Before
we list some of the new names supposedly interested in BlackBerry, let's
try to put a value on the company. According to analysts, BES could be
worth $3 to $4.5 billion. The Intellectual Property portfolio is
probably worth $2 to $3 billion and the company now has $3.1 billion in
the bank with no debt. This adds up to as high as $10.6 billion. But we
shouldn't count on the cash and the patents could be down to a value of
$1.5 billion at best within a year and a half. That would bring the
value of the company down to $5.5 billion, not much wriggle room from
the current bid by Fairfax Financial. And problems continue to pop up.
Just Friday, Canada's largest carrier
Rogers, right in BlackBerry country, announced that it will not carry the upcoming high-end BlackBerry Z30 handset.
The
tech names said to be looking at BlackBerry include Google (which
probably covets BES), Intel, Cisco, SAP, and the Korean giants LG and
Samsung. All but Samsung refused to comment. Samsung could not respond
immediately.
BlackBerry has a special five member committee of
board members looking after the sale of the company. The committee
consists of Timothy Dattels, Chairman Barbara Stymiest, Chief Executive
Thorsten Heins, Richard Lynch and Bert Nordberg. In a situation like
this, BlackBerry and its board have separate advisers because you never
know when there might be a conflict. Advising BlackBerry are a pair of
Wall Street takeover veterans, JP Morgan Chase & Co and RBC Capital
Markets. The board is being advised by a trio of well worn Wall Street
players. Perella Weinberg Partners is supposedly handling strategy for
BlackBerry's board while legal advice is coming from high paid law firms
Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Torys LLP.
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